Are Stock Markets among BRICS Members Integrated? A Regime Shift-Based Co-Integration Analysis

نویسندگان

چکیده

Long-run relationships and structural breaks have often been confused so that many investigators ignore the in long-run stock price relationships. In this paper, we investigate among prices BRICS countries a bivariate framework. We used non-linear threshold cointegration test, which endogenously incorporates possible regime shift behaviors into from 2004 to 2018. The Johansen Gregory Hansen Hatemi-J allow for single double breaks, were used. principal finding of paper confirms presence markets with two endogenous breaks. study ignoring series data can produce ambiguous results. It also absence these (Brazil China, India China South Africa) after These empirical findings support conjecture on more than just changes between markets. disintegrated suggest arbitrage activity vice versa. Thus, mean investors obtain long-term gains through international portfolio diversification. While benefit diversification is very limited long run, it unlikely be eliminated practice. Hence, there possibility obtaining an unusual profit such market, consequently assumptions market efficiency could violated.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Economies

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2227-7099']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10040087